Despite a temporary lull in the country's nursing shortage, data point
to a gathering storm that will be "like a Category Three hurricane, but
one that hits the entire nation," according to Peter Buerhuas, PhD, RN,
FAAN, a leading work force analyst.
Buerhaus, a Vanderbilt University professor, and his colleagues
released the latest data from three studies on the nursing industry
during a May 6 press conference at the National Press Club in
Washington, DC. They predicted dire numbers for the shortage, however
the research was more positive regarding the high public regard of the
nursing profession. Also, researchers went to the source - nurses
themselves - and asked for their opinions on the upcoming presidential
election, their views on U.S. health care policy and how they feel
about their own profession.
The current nursing shortage began in 1998, Buerhaus said, and
according to his latest data, could spike to 500,000 by 2025. Colliding
forces, including an aging nursing work force and a surge in demand for
health care as 78 million baby boomers reach age 65, do not bode well
for the future.
"A shortage that size could incapacitate the health care system,"
Buerhaus said. "Low nurse staffing affects the quality of care. There
is a clear impact on patients: more infections, falls, cardiac arrests
and medication errors."
At the press conference, Buerhaus and Karen Donelan, ScD, senior
scientist at the Institute for Health Policy, Massachusetts General
Hospital, outlined the major points of their article, "Public
Perceptions of Nursing Careers: The Influence of the Media and Nursing
Shortages," to be published in the May/June issue of
Nursing Economic$ journal. Beth Ulrich, EdD, RN, FACHE, FAAN, senior vice president of Professional & Consulting Services for
Nursing Spectrum/NurseWeek,
announced results of the latest national survey of
registered travel nurses
which included RNs' views of health policy issues and solutions and the
upcoming elections.
Key findings from the three studies included the following:
-- A downturn in the economy has driven many retired nurses back into
the work force. However, increased demand by boomers and the aging
nursing work force will make this only a brief reprieve.
-- In the health policy survey of nurses, 30% felt Hillary Clinton
would do the best job reforming the system; 14% chose Barack Obama, and
11% had the most faith in John McCain.
-- In that same survey, RNs said the most important health care problem
the government needs to tackle is access to care/lack of insurance
(34%), with health care costs a close second (28%).
-- The third survey of 1,600 Americans regarding their perceptions of
the nursing profession showed 70% of the public view a nursing career
as positive or very positive, second only to teaching (74%). In
addition, 63% said they would recommend nursing as a career to a high
school or college student.
-- In the public survey, 61% of Americans were aware of a nursing shortage.
-- The public feels that RNs are underpaid (53%) and should get better benefits, factors that feed the shortage.
According to Donelan, who spearheaded the public survey, Americans hold
nurses in high regard, an opinion that is bolstered by positive news
reports and television shows that portray nurses as knowledgeable,
respected professionals.
The analysts pointed out that it was difficult finding explicit
information from the presidential candidates on the nursing shortage.
"This is a concern because the impact will go beyond the health care
industry and affect the entire economy," Buerhaus said. "Suppliers of
health care goods and services, pharmaceuticals, workers needing jobs
and many others will suffer."
For Ulrich, the answers to many of the health care industry's woes can be found by talking with the nurses themselves.
"If anyone understands the health care system, it's nurses," she said.
The survey of nurses, which was sponsored by the Johnson & Johnson
Campaign for Nursing's Future and
Nursing Spectrum/NurseWeek
and conducted by Harris Interactive, was particularly significant,
Ulrich said, because it gives a voice to the single largest group of
health care professionals in the country. (Approximately 2.5 million
RNs practice in the United States today, according to the U.S.
Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.)
The researchers recommended a multi-pronged approach to combat the
shortage. Buerhaus said a comprehensive national strategy must be
developed to recruit and retain nurses. Programs to encourage other
groups, such as men and Hispanics, to enter the profession would help.
In addition, there needs to be additional funding for nursing education
programs, as a shortfall in faculty is contributing to the shortage.
According to
Nursing Economic$
Editor Donna Nickitas, PhD, RN, CNAA, BC, who moderated the press
conference, the journal will be publishing additional articles about
the research in upcoming issues. More information can be found on the
Nursing Economic$ Web site,
http://www.nursingeconomics.net.